Introduction:
I’ve written quite a few articles casting doubt on several aspects of the AI doom narrative. (I’ve starting archiving them on my substack for easier sharing). This article is my first attempt to link them together to form a connected argument for why I find...
In the past few weeks, I spoke with several people interested in EA and wondered: What do others recommend in this situation in terms of media to consume first (books, blog posts, podcasts)?
Isn't it time we had a comprehensive guide on which introductory EA books or media to recommend to different people, backed by data?
Such a resource could consider factors like background, interests, and learning preferences, ensuring the most impactful material is suggested for each individual. Wouldn’t this tailored approach make promoting EA among friends and acquaintances more effective and engaging?
Is this about the safety teams at capabilities labs?
If so, I consider it a non-obvious issue, whether pushing a talented people into an AI safety role at, e.g., DeepMind is a bad thing. If you think that is a bad thing, consider providing a more detailed argument, and writing a top-level post explaining your view.
If, instead, this is about EA institutions pushing people into capabilities roles, consider naming these concrete examples. As an example, 80k has a job advertising a role as a prompt engineer at Scale AI. That does not seem to be a very safety-focused role, and it is not clear how 80k wants to help prevent human extinction with that job ad.
A brief overview of recent OpenAI departures (Ilya Sutskever, Jan Leike, Daniel Kokotajlo, Leopold Aschenbrenner, Pavel Izmailov, William Saunders, Ryan Lowe Cullen O'Keefe[1]). Will add other relevant media pieces below as I come across them.
Some quotes perhaps worth highlighting...
[memetic status: stating directly despite it being a clear consequence of core AI risk knowledge because many people have "but nature will survive us" antibodies to other classes of doom and misapply them here.]
Unfortunately, no.[1]
Technically, “Nature”, ...
I just wanted to say that the new aisafety.info website looks great! I have not looked at everything in detail, just clicking around a bit, but the article seem of good quality to me.
I will probably mainly recommend aisafety as an introductory resource.
Pause AI was relatively small in scale. I feel like AI is in great need of protest. Protesting for increased regulation and safety, layoff compensation, etc.
A lot of what EA wants in terms of AI can be protested for.
I feel like the EA community should protest more? What...
I just looked at [ANONYMOUS PERSON]'s donations. The amount that this person has donated in their life is more than double the amount that I have ever earned in my life. This person appears to be roughly the same age as I am (we graduated from college ± one year of each other). Oof. It makes me wish that I had taken steps to become a software developer back when I was 15 or 18 or 22.
Oh, well. As they say, comparison is the thief of joy. I'll try to focus on doing the best I can with the hand I'm dealt.
I. Introduction and a prima facie case
It seems to me that most (perhaps all) effective altruists believe that:
Yes, that's true. Can you spell out for me what you think that implies in a little more detail?